Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.000142 0.000159 0.000176 0.000197 0.000219 0.000244 0.000272
2025-08-17 0.000118 0.000140 0.000166 0.000196 0.000233 0.000275 0.000326
2025-08-24 0.000099 0.000124 0.000155 0.000193 0.000241 0.000300 0.000376
2025-08-31 0.000086 0.000113 0.000146 0.000192 0.000251 0.000326 0.000428
2025-09-07 0.000076 0.000104 0.000140 0.000191 0.000261 0.000354 0.000485
2025-09-14 0.000067 0.000095 0.000134 0.000189 0.000269 0.000377 0.000537
2025-09-21 0.000061 0.000090 0.000131 0.000192 0.000283 0.000410 0.000605
2025-09-28 0.000056 0.000085 0.000128 0.000194 0.000294 0.000440 0.000671
2025-10-05 0.000051 0.000080 0.000123 0.000192 0.000301 0.000464 0.000729
2025-10-12 0.000048 0.000077 0.000122 0.000197 0.000316 0.000501 0.000811
2025-10-19 0.000044 0.000073 0.000119 0.000197 0.000325 0.000529 0.000879
2025-10-26 0.000041 0.000070 0.000116 0.000197 0.000334 0.000557 0.000950
2025-11-02 0.000037 0.000065 0.000112 0.000195 0.000339 0.000580 0.001015
2025-11-09 0.000035 0.000063 0.000110 0.000196 0.000350 0.000613 0.001100
2025-11-16 0.000032 0.000059 0.000106 0.000194 0.000354 0.000635 0.001169
2025-11-23 0.000030 0.000056 0.000103 0.000193 0.000361 0.000662 0.001247
2025-11-30 0.000028 0.000054 0.000101 0.000193 0.000369 0.000692 0.001334
2025-12-07 0.000026 0.000051 0.000098 0.000191 0.000373 0.000716 0.001410
2025-12-14 0.000025 0.000050 0.000097 0.000194 0.000388 0.000758 0.001526
2025-12-21 0.000023 0.000048 0.000096 0.000195 0.000398 0.000795 0.001633
2025-12-28 0.000022 0.000046 0.000093 0.000194 0.000404 0.000822 0.001723
2026-01-04 0.000021 0.000045 0.000093 0.000198 0.000421 0.000872 0.001866
2026-01-11 0.000020 0.000043 0.000092 0.000199 0.000430 0.000907 0.001977